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SOLAR GENERATION V - 2008

Executive Summary
Part 1: Solar Basics
Part 2: The Solar Power Market
Part 3: The Solar Future
Part 4: Costs and Competitiveness
Part 5: Solar Benefits
Part 6: Policy Drivers










 


The solar potential



There is more than enough solar radiation available around the world to satisfy the demand for solar power systems. The proportion of the sun’s rays that reaches the earth’s surface can satisfy global energy consumption 10,000 times over. On average, each square metre of land is exposed to enough sunlight to receive 1,700 kWh of energy every year.

The statistical information base for the solar energy resource is very solid. The US National Solar Radiation database, for example, has logged 30 years of solar radiation and supplementary meteorological data from 237 sites in the USA. European solar radiation data from 566 sites is published and assessed by the European Joint Research Centre (JRC) (http://re.jrc.ec.europa.eu/pvgis).

The greater the available solar resource at a given location, the larger the quantity of electricity generated. Subtropical regions offer a better resource than more temperate latitudes. The average energy received in Europe is about 1,000 kWh per square metre per year, for example. This compares with 1,800 kWh in the Middle East.

Figure 1.2 shows the estimated potential energy output from solar PV generators in different parts of the world. The calculation takes into account the average efficiency of modules and converters, as well as the correct angle to the sun required at different latitudes.

A comparison between Figures 1.1 and 1.2 shows that only a certain part of solar radiation can be used to generate electricity. However, unlike with conventional energy sources, there is no waste of energy through efficiency losses, as sunlight cannot be wasted. It has been calculated that if 0.71% of the European land mass was covered with PV modules, this would meet Europe’s entire electricity consumption. Furthermore, International Energy Agency (IEA)
calculations show that if only 4% of the world’s very dry desert areas were used for PV installations, this would meet the whole world’s total primary energy demand. Considering the vast areas of unused space (roofs, building surfaces, fallow land, deserts etc) the potential is almost inexhaustible.

What is photovoltaic energy?

‘‘Photovoltaic’ is a marriage of two words: ‘photo’, meaning light, and ‘voltaic’, meaning electricity. Photovoltaic technology, the term used to describe the hardware that converts solar energy into usable power, generates electricity from light.

At the heart of photovoltaic (PV) technology is a semi-conductor material which can be adapted to release electrons, the negatively charged particles that form the basis of electricity. The most common semi-conductor material used in photovoltaic cells is silicon, an element most commonly found in sand. There is no limitation to its availability as a raw material; silicon is the second most abundant material in the earth’s mass.

All PV cells have two layers of semi-conductors, one positively charged and one negatively charged. When light shines on the semi-conductor, the electric field across the junction between these two layers causes electricity to flow, generating DC (direct current). The greater the intensity of the light, the greater the flow of electricity.

A photovoltaic system therefore does not need bright sunlight in order to operate. It can also generate electricity on cloudy days. Due to the reflection of sunlight, days with slight cloud can even result in higher energy yields than days with a completely cloudless sky.

Generating energy through solar PV is quite different from how a solar thermal system works, where the sun’s rays are used to generate heat, usually for hot water in a house, swimming pool etc.

The advantages of PV technology:

The fuel is free.
There are no moving parts to wear out, break down or replace.
Only minimal maintenance is required to keep the system running.
The systems are modular and can be quickly installed anywhere.
It produces no noise, harmful emissions or polluting gases.


PV technology

The most important parts of a PV system are the cells which form the basic building blocks of the unit, collecting the sun’s light, the modules which bring together large numbers of cells into a unit, and, in some situations, the inverters used to convert the electricity generated into a form suitable for everyday use.

PV cells and modules

PV cells are generally made either from crystalline silicon, sliced from ingots or castings or from grown ribbons, or thin film, deposited in thin layers on a low-cost backing. Most cell production (90% in 2007) has so far involved the former, whilst future plans have a strong focus on the latter. Thin film technology based on silicon and other materials is expected to gain a much larger share of the PV market. This technology offers several advantages, such as low material consumption, low weight and a smooth appearance.

Crystalline silicon

Crystalline silicon is still the mainstay of most PV modules. Although in some technical parameters it is not the ideal material for solar cells, it has the benefit of being widely available, well understood and uses the same technology developed for the electronics industry. Efficiencies of more than 20% have been obtained with silicon cells already in mass production. This means that 20% of the incoming insolation can be transferred into electricity.

As well as the efficiency of the solar cells, their thickness is also an important factor. Wafers - very thin slices of silicon - are the basis for crystalline solar cells. Thinner wafers mean less silicon needed per solar cell and therefore lower cost. The average thickness of wafers has been reduced from 0.32 mm in 2003 to 0.17 mm in 2008. Over the same period, the average efficiency has increased from 14% to 16%. By 2010, the aim is to reduce wafer thickness to 0.15 mm whilst increasing efficiency to an average of 16.5%.

During wafer production, a significant amount of valuable silicon is lost as sawing slurry. Ribbon sheet technology represents an alternative approach. This avoids sawing loss by producing thin crystalline silicon layers using a range of techniques, such as pulling thin layers from the melt, or melting powdered silicon into a substrate. As sawing procedures, and the material losses linked to them, are avoided, the demand for silicon per watt of capacity can be reduced significantly.

Thin film

Thin film modules are constructed by depositing extremely thin layers of photosensitive materials onto a low-cost backing such as glass, stainless steel or plastic. This results in lower production costs compared to the more material-intensive crystalline technology, a price advantage which is currently counterbalanced by substantially lower efficiency rates.

Three types of thin film modules are commercially available at the moment. These are manufactured from amorphous silicon (a-Si), copper indium diselenide (CIS, CIGS) and cadmium telluride (CdTe). All of these have active layers in the thickness range of less than a few microns. This allows higher automation once a certain production volume is reached, whilst a more integrated approach is possible in module construction. The process is less labour-intensive compared to the assembly of crystalline modules, where individual cells have to be interconnected.

A temporary shortage of silicon has also offered the opportunity for increasing the market share of thin film technologies. Several new companies are working on the development of thin film production based on a roll-to-roll approach. This means that a flexible substrate, for example stainless steel, is coated with layers in a continuous process. The successful implementation of such a production method will offer opportunities for significantly higher throughput in the factory and lower costs. EPIA expects a growth in the thin film market share to reach about 20% of the total production of PV modules by 2010.

Among the three commercially available thin film technologies, a-Si is the most important in terms of production and installation, with 5.2% of the total market in 2007.



Multicrystalline thin film on glass (CSG) is a promising thin film technology which is now entering industrial production. Microcrystalline technology, in particular the combination of amorphous silicon and microcrystalline silicon (a-Si/m-Si), is another approach with encouraging results.

Other cell types

Concentrator cells work by focusing light on to a small area using an optic concentrator such as a Fresnel lens, with a concentrating ratio of up to 1,000. The small area can then be equipped with a material made from III-V compound semi-conductors (multi-junction Gallium Arsenide type), which have efficiencies of 30% and in laboratories of up to 40%. The two main drawbacks with concentrator systems are that they cannot make use of diffuse sunlight and must always be directed very precisely towards the sun with a tracking system.

Modules

Modules are clusters of PV cells incorporated into a unit, usually by soldering them together under a sheet of glass. They can be adapted in size to the proposed site, and quickly installed. They are also robust, reliable and weatherproof. Module producers usually guarantee a power output of 80% of the nominal power even after 20-25 years.

When a PV installation is described as having a capacity of 3 kW, this refers to the output of the system under standard testing conditions (STC), allowing comparisons between different modules. In central Europe, a 3 kW rated solar electricity system, with a module area of approximately 23 square metres (depending on technology, see Table 1.1), would produce enough power to meet the electricity demand of an energy-conscious household.

Inverters

Inverters are used to convert the direct current (DC) power generated by a PV generator into alternating current (AC) compatible with the local electricity distribution network. This is essential for grid-connected PV systems. Inverters are offered in a wide range of power classes, from a few hundred watts through the most frequently used range of several kW (3-6 kW) up to central inverters for large-scale systems with 100 kW and above.

Components for stand-alone PV Systems

Stand-alone (off-grid) PV systems require a battery, frequently of the lead acid type, to store the energy for future use. New high-quality batteries designed especially for solar applications, with lifetimes of up to 15 years, are now available. However, the lifetime of the battery strongly depends on the battery management and the user’s behaviour. The battery is connected to the PV array via a charge controller. The charge controller protects the battery from overcharging or discharging, and can also provide information about the state of the system or enable metering and pre-payment for the electricity used. If AC output is needed, an inverter is required to convert the DC power from the array.

Types of PV system

Grid-connected
This is the most popular type of solar PV system for homes and businesses in the developed world. Connection to the local electricity network allows any excess power produced to be sold to the utility. Electricity is then imported from the network outside daylight hours. An inverter is used to convert the DC power produced by the system to AC power for running normal electrical equipment.

In countries with a premium feed-in tariff, payment for the electricity generated (see Part Six: Policy Drivers) is considerably higher than the usual tariff paid by the customer to the utility, so all the electricity produced is often fed into the public grid and sold to the utility. This is the situation in countries such as Germany or Spain.

Off-grid
Where no mains electricity is available, the system is connected to a battery via a charge controller. This stores the electricity generated for future use and acts as the main power supply. An inverter can be used to provide AC power, enabling the use of normal electrical appliances. Typical off-grid applications are repeater stations for mobile phones, electrification for remote areas (mountain huts) or rural electrification in developing countries. Rural electrification means either small solar home systems covering basic electricity needs in a single household, or larger solar mini-grids, which provide enough power for several homes.

Hybrid system
A solar system can be combined with another source of power - a biomass generator, a wind turbine or diesel generator - to ensure a consistent supply of electricity. A hybrid system can be grid-connected, stand-alone or grid-support.


 
 
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